001
Assay 001 · Published · 3 July 2026
Profitable grid trades. A losing account.
Four grid configurations completed profitable cycles, yet every whole account finished negative after unsold inventory was valued.
4 / 4 accounts failed
Numerroo Assay · Independent research publication
Evidence before belief.
Trading claims are frozen, measured after real costs and published with their receipts attached, including claims built inside Numerroo itself.
4 Assays · 28 evaluated outcomesFrozen evidence attachedNo affiliate revenue
002
Assay 002 · Published · 8 July 2026
Lorentzian k-NN. After real costs.
A frozen machine-learning classifier was tested on BTC/USD and ETH/USD. Both accounts ended below cash and buy-and-hold.
2 / 2 pairs failed
003
Assay 003 · Published · 11 July 2026
We audited our own trading rules.
Five Keel rules were tested on EUR/GBP across two timeframes and two cost treatments. None survived out-of-sample.
0 / 20 cells passed
004
Assay 004 · Published · 16 July 2026
The famous version died. The boring one lived.
Time-series momentum was tested across nine ETFs from 1993 to 2026. Long/short failed; long/flat survived as defensive timing only.
1 / 2 variants survived
4Assays in the register
28evaluated outcomes
1passed frozen claim
4evidence capsules
The Assay method
Claims do not get the last word.
We separate a persuasive headline from the account-level evidence needed to support it.
Freeze
Inputs, parameters, assumptions, outputs and engine commit are checksummed before publication.
Measure
Fees, spread, slippage, inventory and adverse outcomes are counted explicitly.
Challenge
Favourable assumptions, limitations and the strongest counter-reading stay visible.
Publish
The owner gates every claim. Corrections are visible and frozen receipts are never rewritten.
Independence
The auditor cannot own a horse in the race.
Assay does not sell signals, bots, strategies or broker, bot or course affiliate placements. Negative results are preserved, and a strategy that genuinely survives measured costs is allowed to pass.
Read the boundary and independence rules